My second little piece of information today , after this one regarding the perception management going on at the moment, is about some of the business stories flying around.
I’ve taken the opportunity in the last couple of days to speak to some people who could be said to be “insiders”, but in different things and in different places.
I learned many important things, most of which have already been mentioned but a couple are worth going over again.
The first is that despite what is being trumpeted by Cameron, Osborne et al and the wider No camp, I can tell you that the workers in at least two of the companies that are supposedly going to leave Scotland (they’re not) have received internal emails telling them that, despite what they have seen on TV and in the paper, there is no threat to jobs and conditions if Scotland votes Yes.
Have you seen that side of it reported as much as the invented threats? Aside from finding it out for myself by actually asking people, which most of the mainstream media seem disinclined to do, only Andrew Wilson in the Scotsman commented on the same thing (my contacts were in different companies but they all seemed to receive similar letters or emails).
So while politicians skipped from studio to studio trying to make people worry for their jobs and the rest of us believe all branches and offices would close, the CEO of RBS was drafting a letter to staff calming them and pointing out that no jobs or operations would be affected by a technical legal move.
Now, let’s go on to the second one.
I happened to be speaking to a market insider who definitely knows what they are talking about.
Much of our discussion has already been mentioned by many other people in the field.
Some of it was that the financial services sector of an independent Scotland could be very strong indeed, in fact, it could be significantly better than it is now. Further to that my contact added that the people in the industry are almost ALL convinced of this and the rhetoric is merely the calling in of political favours or being done in the hope of future political favours.
Furthermore, any future uncertainty, which would be bad for both new nations, can and will be quickly and easily dissipated as long as it is clear to the markets what is happening. The UK govt are at the moment recklessly playing a weak hand and calling in and/or promising every favour to create the illusion of continuing uncertainty, for which there is no sane reason, unless you are trying to be a bully. And after a yes vote, there is no reason at all to continue to play the bully.
Did you know that Mark Carney and George Osborne have chosen NOT to go to the G20 meeting in Australia? Now why would they do that?
They would do that because the moment Scotland votes Yes, despite all the nonsense, they want to be here to get a deal sorted IMMEDIATELY.
After a Yes vote, there is every reason for all sides to very quickly come to an agreement, and that will happen.
The Tories are playing a dangerous game of sleight of hand in order to bully and frighten the Scottish people into voting no, but at the same time their politicians and functionaries are already on hand to ensure that what they are trying to scare you with doesn’t happen, and it won’t.
Are people this dishonest the kind of people you want to run your government?